The Economics of Capital Structuring
One of my favorite
school subjects was Economics, because it teaches you the science within
decision makers based on human nature and fallibility impacts the real world
along with themselves. This signify as human behavior or corporate behavior
based on their decision making on funding and spending either from equity or
debt, which is called capital structuring.
The basic
assumption of human spending is by using their own money or someone else’s
money, the reason of borrowing someone else’s money is because to double their
spending and investment to gain more resources to satisfy wants and needs.
However, the consequence of borrowing is that it accumulated debt payment and possible
debt default. Compare to a company the capital structure is basically based on
the pecking order theory, either the company use its own money, borrow money,
issuing hybrid stocks or issuing common stocks.
Knowing that,
the most use financial tool that drives the world is money, and most companies
in all country’s borrows money, a lot of them, and not using their own money.
Why? To create creditworthiness and amplify spending. Mostly developed
countries are flooded by debt because they are developed, hence trustworthy to
issue high credit. Supportive studies that United Kingdom Debt-GDP ratio is
85%, with Brexit and increasing world inflation, I believe the Debt – GDP ratio
will go more than that.
I’m an International Student, so should I be
worried?
The answer is,
YES! This concerns with my opportunity of employment at the future in the banking
sector of United Kingdom, because with accumulated high debts and inflation followed
pumping interest rates may lead to recession, and banks goes to strains and may
cost my job. Furthermore, I am interested in investing and starting a business at
the UK, investment include at the stocks and bonds market, and start up
business based on expanding my dessert business from Indonesia to the UK with
the aim of long-term financial sustainability with future business benchmark
and wealth maximization.
However, because
of economic crisis at the future may prevent those activities: to think that a
person’s decision making can make a domino affect on creating an economic
crisis is scary and its true. For example, in 2008 financial crisis the
proposition and issuing of subprime mortgages, followed by borrowing so much
money by consumers, businesses, governments and banks resulted to the biggest
devastating credit crisis bubble in history. As well the current UK economic
condition on Brexit situation will resulted to the decrease of UK relationship
with the Euro zone on international trade and free trade agreement. In my opinion
on Brexit, it will increase unemployment and reduce jobs, many businesses went
bankrupt and many employees retired.
This case of
economic downturn can be applied to personal learning, whether to use debt or
equity in investment and making a business. I learn that if I want to be rich,
I must be productive, hence the productivity growth upward sloping in the
business cycle, when I’m always be productive it provides competitive
advantage, increase skills and knowledge better than others, and that is the
secret for productive investment and starting a business: being better than
others.
But through my
experience in making a business and investment, obviously we need some help
from someone based on funding either from debt or equity which is all about
decision making. Such as, once in a financial investment, I invited my friends
to provide a mutual fund and portfolio investment that resulted to a positive
earning of investment and was successful. This signify as a safe, low risk and
diversified investment, so instead of going greedy to invest in risky
securities it does not resulted to financial sustainability, its just gambling,
being SMART is the key to be rich.
As well starting
a business the pool of funds from my money and my friends created a dessert
theme business and currently generating profits approaching from Under Dog to
Question Mark then Rising Star, well that’s our dream. Another case and I have
to be honest, in my business there were accumulation of debt because of
inflation, which put my business position to be highly undesirable, hence the
solution was to sell some assets and pay the debt. However, after that
incident, the business was doing well and we reach our target sales and profits
for the next month and following month.
From that event,
my perspective was that equity is better than debt, because I’m using my own
money and someone else’s money (love money mostly) based on ownership in the
business (issuing shares), because shareholders/ owners wants the business to
have a future bench mark, while lenders or creditors does not care about the
business but the money to be paid. Furthermore, as recommendation for you
future entrepreneurs, do not borrow so much money because it may result in
financial distress and when you require an investor or partner to increase your
business fund make sure that the individual is highly productive, knowledgeable
and understand the business and the owners, it is recommended to invite friends
or family that are knowledgeable, skilled and experienced to assist you in
growing your small business and investment opportunities.
Do you think that as your business grows, debt financing would be key to ensuring efficient tax planning, or do you still consider equity raised capital the more viable option for you? Do you think that potentially the offers you received for loans and overdrafts were perhaps uncompetitive due to the scale of your business and overall trustworthiness?
BalasHapusNice question Harvey. I'm positive highly agree with you, because when I grow my business in Indonesia, sole trader and partnership does not obtain governmental taxes, because it's a small business with limited awareness with the government. In my view point, to grow a small business we should use equity, and debt issuance later when the company grow so much with high amount of assets and reserve position as collateral. The reason why I see Debt financing can potentially create financial stress easily is because many major businesses in Indonesia flooded with loans and endeavor debt reduction, with ever increasing interest rates, debt payment and tax amnesty enforcement, will harm the companies financial health. Many private companies were blacklisted by banks because of low credit ratings and insufficient revenue structuring. Blacklisting will create funding problem as the company could not borrow money from other financial institutions and investor will not invest on the company, resulting to bankruptcy.
HapusThe concept of interrelating economics with capital structuring mentioned in this blog is really interesting but do you think that will UK economy perform better after Brexit? Also, I am curious on how is the bubble produced in the OTC market? Thanks.
BalasHapusHello Ming, this is a difficult question to answer. Expert said that since UK have high debt to GDP ratio reaching 87% it will increase exponentially after Brexit impacting business and GDP growth to slow down. However, in my opinion that is based on the short run, in the long run UK actually can maximize growth by using its created silk road UK have access of international relationship in importing and exporting goods in Asia will drive UK’s GDP by elements of net exports and foreign consumption sales. Also having free trade agreement with Asia implementing reduction of import and export barriers reducing production and transportation cost for UK companies.
HapusI gave the 2008 financial crises example, and the first step of a bubble is a driven investment by leverage as investor and banks borrow loan so much to invest in assets and securities such as CDO’s it creates a possible domino affect of financial stress if the debt is not paid. But at the first stage the housing market, CDO’s and wealth maximize exponentially. However, when banks become greedy and issue subprime loans this is the first stage where the bubble might burst, because default rate increase as many poor families default on the mortgage, banks confiscate many houses but could not sell because of low buyers power in housing market as it is expensive, then when all banks does not have cash inflow from the sales of loans and mortgages the could not pay bank the debts from investors based on CDO’s investment. When they could not pay and try to sell all assets including investors try to sell all CDO’s, it becomes a full bears market, and the economy will slow down resulting to the bubble burst and many banks become bankrupt, unemployment skyrocketed and many investors loss so much money.
Thank you.
If a company is flooded by debt, how should they manage financial stress and escape from the situation to prevent bankruptcy?
BalasHapusHi Michael, thank you for asking. If a company is flooded by debt and try to provide debt management, they first need to analyse their financial report on the presence of assets such as cash to be compiled and allocating assets to be sold, give collateral to banks and try to manage investment, such as when debt defaults are reduced, the company may use the capital gain from asset sales to invest in productive assets. For example, when my business run by debt, I sold my retailer and pay the liability to creditors and decided to enter online markets which is highly cost-effective way and flexible to obtain high sales which in the long term I manage to open new outlets by renting.
HapusHi Michael, thank you for asking. If a company is flooded by debt and try to provide debt management, they first need to analyse their financial report on the presence of assets such as cash to be compiled and allocating assets to be sold, give collateral to banks and try to manage investment, such as when debt defaults are reduced, the company may use the capital gain from asset sales to invest in productive assets. For example, when my business run by debt, I sold my retailer and pay the liability to creditors and decided to enter online markets which is highly cost-effective way and flexible to obtain high sales which in the long term I manage to open new outlets by renting.
Hapus