Will cutting dividend payment enhance company’s growth or sparks bankruptcy?
When you invest in a company, what do you expect? Gaining higher returns
from the investment or sustaining that ownership in the company? Obviously,
sustaining the ownership of the company with the objective of a business future
benchmark, that way to gain continues return which increases your wealth and
enables financial sustainability. However, some companies provide new dividend
policies that does not make sense and making the company's lose its shareholders and experience insolvency, which are in strains to cut the
dividend payment with the objective of increase the income of the company,
well, obviously the shareholders will sell their shares from this bad news of
gaining lower return from the guaranteed amount, hence negative abnormal
returns.
Current example may include General Electric share price in 2017 was
$20.49 and share price in 2018 reduces to $9.42 because of new dividend
policies with massive reduction of 50% dividend yield and if this continuously
reducing the company will go to bankrupt. That’s the problem with companies
nowadays, to apply cost control not fully focusing on reducing fixed and
variable cost, but cutting returns from investors and shareholders, bravo.
Basically, General Electric cannot provide the promise to the shareholders
because from unproductive investment and competitive disadvantage because from
a new insufficient management under a new CEO: talking about greedy and not
following corporate governance to ensure shareholder wealth maximization which is highly important, because General Electric divest in many assets and now reducing dividend payment which also mean taking money away from shareholder.
In my experience on investing, usually I invest in blue-chip stocks
focusing on public companies, and it does provide lower returns, however a
successful benchmark is applied, I use 2 types of investment that earns are
cash and stock dividends. Cash dividend is a normal payment of dividend gain to
shareholders and stock dividends is by increase shares outstanding to specified
shareholders which increase ownership. Mostly I prefer to use stock dividends
instead of cash dividends, because based on blue-chip stock investment it will
continuously increase of profits and providing continues dividend payment without
experiencing financial problems such as cutting dividend which is an
insufficient idea, and increasing ownership of company with the guarantee of
asset ownership.
One quote that
is based on true inspiration is by Warren Buffet: “You cant’s reach success in
investment, if you do not think independently” signifying that proper and calm
decision making will result in a profitable investment. From my point view this
really true and relate to me in many ways, because the only reason why I invest
in diversified securities with obviously low risk it is a smart investment to
have successful benchmark, and many of people take risk and do not understand
the true rating and value of securities resulting a huge loss.
So what does
that quote relate with dividend policy or reducing dividend? It means that even
though you might perform SMART investment, a company or fiduciary still has
control on your money and may change strategies, such as imagine you invest in
share with low risk but may provide a long-term profit, and the company decided
to reduce its dividend payment, that would be frustrating for an investor to
gain lower and lower returns, leading to obviously selling the share. It also
signifies that something is wrong with the company as it has so much expenses
and disbursement and decided to not reduce its fixed or variable cost, but to
reduce investors returns.
S&P 500
tracks dividend yield is continuously decreasing because from cutting dividend
payment, quoting the objective is to expand company’s growth and not because
the company is in trouble. This claim is inaccurate and mindless, because
personally in normal situation a business that’s in trouble should provide a
strategy of increasing revenue and reducing expense to enhance retained earnings,
instead of reducing dividends because it is forced to pay high expenses and
debt caused by lower revenues, which signify as financial stress. It’s also signaling
a weakness to competitors, as the signaling of insolvency may provide
competitor opportunity to gain higher customers, to attract investors from the
company that experience insolvency, thus the competitor gain higher strength of
funding and asset growth, as well may acquire the insolvent company.
My claim is
argumentative, because several cases in the past based on economic growth
companies that decided to cut dividend payment to increase cash to pay back
expenses, debts and establish new project which in the long term gaining high
profits and able to pay dividends to shareholders. However, based on my
argument focused on current situations since the international debt increases
225% signifying an economic bubble and rising inflation heighten the interest
rates resulting to possible future recession that will create insolvency for
companies, including companies cutting dividends with the objective of paying
disbursement and losses and not having sufficient funds to enable growth to the
company and paying the return promised to owners.
In summary,
personally dividend and dividend policy are highly relevant to detect company’s
future growth, shareholder wealth maximization and macroeconomic activities,
because in my analysis companies give dividend policy with the objective of
distributing dividend perfectly to shareholder and making them gaining return
in cash or stocks thus shareholder wealth should increase. However, if
companies cut dividends or providing dividend payable to shareholder signifies
an insolvency for the company, some companies having losses and sell assets to
gain cash to pay the dividend to the shareholders which is irrelevant for
shareholder maximization even though the shareholder gain capital returns from
divestment, and in their mind they will gain the capital and provide exit
strategy from the company because the company will go bankrupt from that bad
news.
Which signify
all companies needs to be productive in their business operations to generate
economies of scale, profitability’s, avoid risks and often provide a positive
confidence level to investors and shareholders that the company is financially
healthy. Never cut dividends, but provide opportunity of increase in dividends
small portion to satisfy shareholders, and in the case of low net profits the
business should provide cost reduction and cost control based on fixed and
variable expenses internally and externally of the company.
Surely in today's market, due to its highly liquid nature, dividend irrelevance theory is more apt? A dividend is no doubt a bonus but due to the ease of buying and selling to ensure capital gain, do you think so or are you still supportive of importance of dividend policy?
BalasHapusIn theory I do agree that Dividend Irrelevancy is realistic based on trading and speculation assumptions, because as speculators they will just buy shares at low price and sell the share at the highest price possible. However, as a long-term investor such as Warren Buffet will invest in safe assets, which consider the importance of Dividend Relevance because it provides continues returns and a sustainable business with huge long- term benchmark, regardless if you invest on an ISDA which have high capital requirement, because any safe investor pursue for blue chip stock investment and often diversify their portfolio, because continues negative correlation will still pay dividends resulting to maximizing investors wealth.
HapusIf the company doesn't make a profit, do you think the preferred shareholders should still get a dividend the way, index announce the A-shares included in the MSCI Emerging Markets index.Do you think that thing will bring something different to blue-chips stocks?
BalasHapusHi Yujie, thank you for your question. In accounting perspective when a company makes a loss in its income statement, they will still pay dividend from observing the cash flow statement as if the company have positive free cash flow because from selling physical assets (investing cash flow statement) and/or having excess return from project finance (other revenues or income stream not from daily operations) may provide the company positive cash flow to pay dividends to preferred shareholders. The MSCI is currently increasing and weighting on A shares to be sold in the global markets to attract foreign investors, thus it Mya benefit China on enhancing foreign direct investment on maximizing economic and business growth, as well could be a threat to blue chip stock firms in other countries as China is one of the biggest economic power house in the world which may have an international competitive advantage by entering the MCSI for investor on investing its index portfolio based on A Shares for safe investment
HapusThank you
Dividend policy is controversial for companies, especially for long-term invetsment. For a company, should it cut dividend to investment a new area, and what do you think?
BalasHapusThank you for your question Shuang. Personally, I do not understand why a company should cut dividend on preserving high cash to perform investment. Hence, they can just provide cost control which is an accounting and finance department responsibility to cut cost and maximizing returns which should drive positive free cash flow. But if your saying that a company have high amount of outstanding shares and majority of profit distribution is from dividend payment it makes sense. However, cutting dividend will still cause problems, such as it means the company might have loss of profit, does not have dividend policy scheduling and shareholders, including external investors are terrified the liquidity and solvency of the company, so the shareholder will sell their shares that will result to massive reduction of corporate and share value. So, I would suggest a company should provide cost control, cost reduction and selling several unproductive assets to drive free cash flow and revenue stream, maximizing cash holdings to perform productive investment in the future.
Hapus